Match Summary

The HNL fixture HNK Hajduk Split - NK Varaždin is scheduled for 2 May 2026 at Stadion Poljud, Split (capacity 34,198). HNK Hajduk Split are the Market Favorite with an implied probability of roughly 70% from the 1X2 market. It is Round 33 of the HNL 25/26 season, with the 2nd-place hosts facing the 3rd-place visitors NK Varaždin.

Form Analysis & Trajectory

• HNK Hajduk Split: Arrive after opening their last five with two straight wins, then a draw, a defeat, and another draw—momentum cooled and they are winless in their last three. Their season profile (51 scored, 29 conceded) indicates a stronger defensive baseline than most rivals, but recent inconsistency points to reduced chance conversion. Recent average squad rating sits at 6.93, aligning with a high floor but limited attacking output lately.
• NK Varaždin: Built a four-match unbeaten spell (draw followed by three wins) before losing the most recent outing, suggesting an uptick that stalled. Season figures (41 scored, 42 conceded) show a nearly neutral goal difference, with defensive leakage still a risk despite improved results. The recent average squad rating is 6.81, marginally behind the hosts but consistent with a competitive third-place push.

Comparison Data

Key Match Insights

• Head-to-head balance: across the recorded meetings it is even—3 wins each with 4 draws; the last meeting finished 1-1.
• Manager duel: no prior competitive head-to-heads recorded between Gonzalo García (Hajduk) and Nikola Šafarić (Varaždin).
• Recent ratings signal a small edge to the hosts: average squad ratings—Hajduk 6.93 vs Varaždin 6.81 (last five matches).
• Venue context: Stadion Poljud, Split (capacity 34,198), hosts a 2nd vs 3rd matchup with a 14-point gap and season goal differences of +22 (Hajduk) vs -1 (Varaždin).